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Showing 2 results for Prediction

Ali Ghaemi, Amin Safari,
Volume 7, Issue 2 (3-2021)
Abstract

The high power passing through transmission systems and the high costs due to the fault occurrence in these lines have encouraged researchers to pay special attention to protection issues in this area. The limitations and deficiencies of traditional protection methods and their strong dependencies on the system operating conditions doubles the importance of early fault detection and its prediction utilizing new techniques. Timely detection and warning issuance toward the possibility of fault occurrence can be accomplished by analyzing the data and information obtained from the system and examining the relationships between different parameters. In this paper, machine learning methods are used, which have the ability to predict the occurrence of faults with appropriate accuracy independent of the operating area of the system. To evaluate the performance of the models, a large amount of data has been generated in various operating conditions and applied as input to the algorithms under study. Also, the effects of different weather conditions as one of the important factors have been considered. For the sake of greater generality, accuracy check, and comparability of the results, three methods including KNN, SVM, and decision tree in two modes (unbalanced and balanced data in the existing classes) have been used, and the outcomes have been presented. The simulations and modeling presented in this paper have been implemented using Python and MATLAB.

Hossein Safaeipour, Mehdi Forouzanfar, Amin Ramezani,
Volume 8, Issue 1 (9-2021)
Abstract

In chemical processes, thermal reactors are described by nonlinear closed-loop dynamic models. Timely detection of simultaneous fouling phenomena in the heat transfer system is a concern of this art. In this work, a new incipient fault diagnosis approach is proposed for application in the closed-loop non-isothermal continuous stirred-tank reactor (CSTR) system subjected to simultaneous Gaussian and non-Gaussian noises. First, the state vector is estimated by applying the well-known particle filter estimator. Then, the primary residual signal is generated using the system measurements, and the fault vector estimation is obtained. After that, by an adaptive either fixed threshold design applied in the online monitoring devised with the proposed evaluation technique, while the fault detectability is improved, the false detection problem is restricted to the system permitted number. Bank on, preventive maintenance scheduling also incipient fault trend prediction have become possible using the Gauss-Newton identification method. Finally, in order to evaluate the proposed approach, the simultaneous fouling incipient fault diagnosis over the heat transfer unit built-in nonlinear closed-loop CSTR system is considered. Furthermore, the confusion matrix and associated evaluation indices are employed to assess the simulation results quantitatively.

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سامانه های غیرخطی در مهندسی برق Journal of Nonlinear Systems in Electrical Engineering
نشریه سامانه‌های غیرخطی در مهندسی برق در خصوص اصول اخلاقی انتشار مقاله، از توصیه‌های «کمیته بین‌المللی اخلاق نشر» موسوم به COPE و «منشور و موازین اخلاق پژوهش» مصوب معاونت پژوهش و فناوری وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری تبعیت می‌کند.
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